All Publications

Journals

• Ribas L; Li MS; Doddington BJ; Robert J; Seidel JA; Kroll JS; Zimmerman LB; Grassly NC; et al. (2009). Expression profiling the temperature-dependent amphibian response to infection by Batrachochytrium dendrobatidis. PLoS One. 4:e8408. DOI.
• Fraser C; Donnelly CA; Cauchemez S; Hanage WP; Van Kerkhove MD; Hollingsworth TD; Griffin J; Baggaley RF; et al. (28 Aug 2009). Influenza: Making Privileged Data Public Response. SCIENCE. 325:1072-1073.
• Gambhir M; Basanez MG; Burton MJ; Solomon AW; Bailey RL; Holland MJ; Blake IM; Donnelly CA; et al. (Jun 2009). The Development of an Age-Structured Model for Trachoma Transmission Dynamics, Pathogenesis and Control. PLOS NEGLECT TROP D. 3. DOI.
• Grassly NC; Jafari H; Bahl S; Durrani S; Wenger J; Sutter RW; Aylward RB. (1 Sep 2009). Mucosal immunity after vaccination with monovalent and trivalent oral poliovirus vaccine in India. J Infect Dis. 200:794-801. DOI.
• Fraser C; Donnelly CA; Cauchemez S; Hanage WP; Van Kerkhove MD; Hollingsworth TD; Griffin J; Baggaley RF; et al. (19 Jun 2009). Pandemic Potential of a Strain of Influenza A (H1N1): Early Findings. SCIENCE. 324:1557-1561. DOI.
• Blake IM; Burton MJ; Bailey RL; Solomon AW; West S; Muñoz B; Holland MJ; Mabey DC; et al. (2009). Estimating household and community transmission of ocular Chlamydia trachomatis. PLoS Negl Trop Dis. 3:e401. DOI.
• Grassly NC; Ward ME; Ferris S; Mabey DC; Bailey RL. (Dec 2008). The Natural History of Trachoma Infection and Disease in a Gambian Cohort with Frequent Follow-Up. PLOS NEGLECT TROP D. 2. DOI.
• Jenkins HE; Aylward RB; Gasasira A; Donnelly CA; Abanida EA; Koleosho-Adelekan T; Grassly NC. (16 Oct 2008). Effectiveness of immunization against paralytic poliomyelitis in Nigeria. NEW ENGL J MED. 359:1666-U111.
• Grassly NC; Fraser C. (Jun 2008). Mathematical models of infectious disease transmission. NAT REV MICROBIOL. 6:477-487. DOI.
• Grassly NC; Wenger J; Aylward RB. (9 Nov 2007). Potent questions about India's polio vaccine - Response. SCIENCE. 318:914-+.
• Grassly NC; Lowndes CM; Rhodes T; Judd A; Renton A; Garnett GP. (2003). Modelling emerging HIV epidemics: the role of injecting drug use and sexual transmission in the Russian Federation, China and India. International Journal of Drug Policy. 14:25-43.
• Garnett, G.P.; Grassly, N.C.; Gregson, S.J.. (2001). AIDS: The makings of a development disaster?. Journal of International Development. 13:391-409.
• Grassly NC (corresponding author). (2002). Improved methods and assumptions for estimation of the HIV/AIDS epidemic and its impact: Recommendations of the UNAIDS Reference Group on Estimates, Modelling and Projections. AIDS. 16.
• Grassly NC; Wenger J; Bahl S; Sutter RW; Aylward RB. (14 Jul 2007). Protective efficacy of a monovalent oral type 1 poliovirus vaccine - Authors' reply. Lancet. 370:129-130. Publisher weblink DOI.
• Grassly NC; Wenger J; Durrani S. (26 May 2007). Protective efficacy of a monovalent oral type 1 poliovirus vaccine: a case-control study (vol 369, pg 1356, 2007). LANCET. 369:1790-1790.
• Gambhir M; Basáñez MG; Turner F; Kumaresan J; Grassly NC. (Jun 2007). Trachoma: transmission, infection, and control. Lancet Infect Dis. 7:420-427. DOI.
• Grassly NC; Wenger J; Durrani S; Bahl S; Deshpande JM; Sutter RW; Heymann DL; Aylward RB. (21 Apr 2007). Protective efficacy of a monovalent oral type 1 poliovirus vaccine: a case-control study. Lancet. 369:1356-1362. DOI.
• Grassly NC; Fraser C; Wenger J; Deshpande JM; Sutter RW; Heymann DL; Aylward RB. (17 Nov 2006). New strategies for the elimination of polio from India. Science. 314:1150-1153. DOI.
• Grassly NC; Fraser C. (7 Oct 2006). Seasonal infectious disease epidemiology. Proc Biol Sci. 273:2541-2550. DOI.
• Brown T; Grassly NC; Garnett G; Stanecki K. (Jun 2006). Improving projections at the country level: the UNAIDS Estimation and Projection Package 2005. Sex Transm Infect. 82 Suppl 3:iii34-iii40. DOI.
• Stover J; Walker N; Grassly NC; Marston M. (Jun 2006). Projecting the demographic impact of AIDS and the number of people in need of treatment: updates to the Spectrum projection package. Sex Transm Infect. 82 Suppl 3:iii45-iii50. DOI.
• Grassly NC; Timaeus IM. (1 Jul 2005). Methods to estimate the number of orphans as a result of AIDS and other causes in Sub-Saharan Africa. J Acquir Immune Defic Syndr. 39:365-375.
• Grassly NC; Garnett GP. (May 2005). The future of the HIV pandemic. Bull World Health Organ. 83:378-382.
• Grassly NC; Fraser C; Garnett GP. (27 Jan 2005). Host immunity and synchronized epidemics of syphilis across the United States. Nature. 433:417-421. DOI.
• Garnett GP; Grassly NC; Boerma JT; Ghys PD. (1 Aug 2004). HIV surveillance data analytical tools - Maximising the global use of HIV surveillance data through the development and sharing of analytical tools. SEX TRANSM INFECT. 80. DOI.
• Ghys PD; Brown T; Grassly NC; Garnett G; Stanecki KA; Stover J; Walker N. (Aug 2004). The UNAIDS Estimation and Projection Package: a software package to estimate and project national HIV epidemics. Sex Transm Infect. 80 Suppl 1:i5-i9. DOI.
• Walker N; Stover J; Stanecki K; Zaniewski AE; Grassly NC; Garcia-Calleja JM; Ghys PD. (Aug 2004). The workbook approach to making estimates and projecting future scenarios of HIV/AIDS in countries with low level and concentrated epidemics. Sex Transm Infect. 80 Suppl 1:i10-i13. DOI.
• Grassly NC; Morgan M; Walker N; Garnett G; Stanecki KA; Stover J; Brown T; Ghys PD. (Aug 2004). Uncertainty in estimates of HIV/AIDS: the estimation and application of plausibility bounds. Sex Transm Infect. 80 Suppl 1:i31-i38. DOI.
• Walker N; Grassly NC; Garnett GP; Stanecki KA; Ghys PD. (26 Jun 2004). Estimating the global burden of HIV/AIDS: what do we really know about the HIV pandemic?. Lancet. 363:2180-2185. DOI.
• Grassly NC; Lewis JJ; Mahy M; Walker N; Timaeus IM. (2004). Comparison of household-survey estimates with projections of mortality and orphan numbers in sub-Saharan Africa in the era of HIV/AIDS. Popul Stud (Camb). 58:207-217. DOI.
• Pisani E; Garnett GP; Grassly NC; Brown T; Stover J; Hankins C; Walker N; Ghys PD. (21 Jun 2003). Back to basics in HIV prevention: focus on exposure. BMJ. 326:1384-1387. DOI.
• Grassly NC; Desai K; Pegurri E; Sikazwe A; Malambo I; Siamatowe C; Bundy D. (2 May 2003). The economic impact of HIV/AIDS on the education sector in Zambia. AIDS. 17:1039-1044. DOI.
• Stover J; Walker N; Garnett GP; Salomon JA; Stanecki KA; Ghys PD; Grassly NC; Anderson RM; et al. (6 Jul 2002). Can we reverse the HIV/AIDS pandemic with an expanded response?. Lancet. 360:73-77. DOI.
• Garnett GP; Bartley L; Grassly NC; Anderson RM. (Jul 2002). Antiretroviral therapy to treat and prevent HIV/AIDS in resource-poor settings. Nat Med. 8:651-654. DOI.
• Grassly NC; Garnett GP; Schwartländer B; Gregson S; Anderson RM. (2001). The effectiveness of HIV prevention and the epidemiological context. Bull World Health Organ. 79:1121-1132.
• Grassly NC; Von Haeseler A; Krakauer DC. (7 Oct 2000). Error, population structure and the origin of diverse sign systems. J Theor Biol. 206:369-378. DOI.
• Grassly NC; Harvey PH; Holmes EC. (Feb 1999). Population dynamics of HIV-1 inferred from gene sequences. Genetics. 151:427-438.
• Grassly NC; Xiang Z; Ariyoshi K; Aaby P; Jensen H; Schim van der Loeff M; Dias F; Whittle H; et al. (Oct 1998). Mortality among human immunodeficiency virus type 2-positive villagers in rural Guinea-Bissau is correlated with viral genotype. J Virol. 72:7895-7899.
• Grassly NC; Adachi J; Rambaut A. (Oct 1997). PSeq-Gen: an application for the Monte Carlo simulation of protein sequence evolution along phylogenetic trees. Comput Appl Biosci. 13:559-560.
• Bollyky PL; Rambaut A; Grassly N; Carman WF; Holmes EC. (Oct 1997). Hepatitis B virus has a recent new world evolutionary origin. HEPATOLOGY. 26:765-765.
• Rambaut A; Grassly NC. (Jun 1997). Seq-Gen: an application for the Monte Carlo simulation of DNA sequence evolution along phylogenetic trees. Comput Appl Biosci. 13:235-238.
• Grassly NC; Holmes EC. (Mar 1997). A likelihood method for the detection of selection and recombination using nucleotide sequences. Mol Biol Evol. 14:239-247.
• Rambaut A; Grassly NC; Nee S; Harvey PH. (Dec 1996). Bi-De: an application for simulating phylogenetic processes. Comput Appl Biosci. 12:469-471.