Statistical Epidemiology Reference List
Cattle TB
Final report of the Independent Scientific Group on Cattle TB http://www.defra.gov.uk/animalh/tb/isg/pdf/final_report.pdf
Analysis of TB incidence in the Randomised Badger Culling Trial
Christl A. Donnelly , Gao Wei, W. Thomas Johnston, D.R. Cox, Rosie Woodroffe, F. John Bourne, C.L. Cheeseman, Richard S. Clifton-Hadley, George Gettinby, Peter Gilks, Helen E. Jenkins, Andrea M. Le Fevre, John P. McInerney & W. Ivan Morrison - Impacts of widespread badger culling on cattle tuberculosis: concluding analyses from a large-scale field trial. International Journal of Infectious Diseases. (Published online 12 June 2007.) The supporting data is available with the full text.
Christl A. Donnelly, Rosie Woodroffe, David R. Cox, F. John Bourne, Chris L. Cheeseman, Richard S. Clifton-Hadley, Gao Wei, George Gettinby, Peter Gilks, Helen Jenkins, W. Tom Johnston, Andrea M. Le Fevre, John P. McInerney and W. Ivan Morrison. Positive and negative effects of widespread badger culling on tuberculosis in cattle. Nature 439, 843-846, 2006.
Donnelly CA, Woodroffe R, Cox DR, Bourne J, Gettinby G, Le Fevre AM, McInerney JP, Morrison WI. Impact of localized badger culling on tuberculosis incidence in British cattle. Nature, 426, 834-837, 2003.
Other Cattle TB papers
R. Woodroffe, C.A. Donnelly, Gao Wei, F.J. Bourne, C.L. Cheeseman, D.R. Cox, G. Gettinby, J.P. McInerney & W.I. Morrison - Evaluating the closed season adopted in the Randomised Badger Culling Trial - an update. The supporting data is available. To request this data please email tb.webmaster@defra.gsi.gov.uk.
R. Woodroffe, C.A. Donnelly, Gao Wei, F.J. Bourne, C.L. Cheeseman, D.R. Cox, G. Gettinby, J.P. McInerney & W.I. Morrison - Patterns of trap-related injury recorded in the Randomised Badger Culling Trial - an update. The supporting data is available. To request this data please email tb.webmaster@defra.gsi.gov.uk.
Rosie Woodroffe, Christl A. Donnelly, Helen E. Jenkins, W. Thomas Johnston, David R. Cox, F. John Bourne, Chris L. Cheeseman , Richard J. Delahay, Richard S. Clifton-Hadley, George Gettinby, Peter Gilks, R. Glyn Hewinson , John P. McInerney, and W. Ivan Morrison. Culling and cattle controls influence tuberculosis risk for badgers. Proceedings of the National Academy of Science, USA 103, 14713–14717, 2006.
R. Woodroffe, C. A. Donnelly, D. R. Cox, F. J. Bourne, C. L. Cheeseman, R. J. Delahay, G. Gettinby, J. P. McInerney and W. I. Morrison. Effects of culling on badger (Meles meles) spatial organisation: implications for the control of bovine TB. Journal of Applied Ecology 43, 1-10, 2006.
Andrea M. Le Fevre, Christl A. Donnelly, D. R. Cox, F. John Bourne, Richard S. Clifton-Hadley, George Gettinby, W. Thomas Johnston, John P. McInerney, W. Ivan Morrison and Rosie Woodroffe. The impact of localised badger culling versus no culling on TB incidence in British cattle: a randomised trial
R. Woodroffe, C. A. Donnelly, W. T. Johnston, F. J. Bourne, C. L. Cheeseman, R. S. Clifton-Hadley, D. R. Cox, G. Gettinby, R. G. Hewinson, A. M. Le Fevre, J. P. McInerney and W. I. Morrison. Spatial association of Mycobacterium bovis infection in cattle and badgers Meles meles. Journal of Applied Ecology, 2005, 42, 852; doi 10.1111/j1365-2664.2005.01081.x..
D. R. Cox, Christl A. Donnelly, F. John Bourne, George Gettinby, John P. McInerney, W. Ivan Morrison, and Rosie Woodroffe. Simple model for tuberculosis in cattle and badgers. Proceedings of the National Academy of Science, USA, 2005. 10.1073/pnas.0509003102.
Johnston WT, Gettinby G, Cox DR, Donnelly CA, Bourne J, Clifton-Hadley R, Le Fevre AM, McInerney JP, Mitchell A, Morrison WI, Woodroffe R. Herd-level risk factors associated with TB breakdowns prior to the 2001 UK Foot and Mouth Disease epidemic among cattle herds in England. Biology Letters, 1, 53-56, 2005.
Woodroffe R, Bourne FJ, Cox DR, Donnelly CA, Gettinby G, McInerney JP, Morrison WI. Welfare of badgers (Meles meles) subjected to culling: Patterns of trap-related injury. Animal Welfare, 14, 11-17, 2005.
Woodroffe R, Bourne FJ, Cheeseman CL, Cox DR, Donnelly CA, Gettinby G, McInerney JP, Morrison WI. Welfare of badgers (Meles meles) subjected to culling: Development and evaluation of a closed season. Animal Welfare, 14, 19-25, 2005.
Bourne J, Donnelly CA, Cox DR, Gettinby G, McInerney JP, Morrison I, and Woodroffe R. Bovine tuberculosis: Towards a future control strategy. Veterinary Record 146, 207-210, 2000.
Morrison WI, Bourne FJ, Cox DR, Donnelly CA, Gettinby G, McInerney JP, and Woodroffe R. Pathogenesis and diagnosis of infections with Mycobacterium bovis in cattle. Veterinary Record 146, 236-242, 2000.
SARS
Donnelly CA, Ghani AC, Leung GM, Hedley AJ, Fraser C, Riley S, Abu-Raddad LJ, Ho L-M, Thach T-Q, Chau P, Chan K-P, Lam T-H, Tse L-Y, Tsang T, Kong JHB, Cheung N-T, Lo S-V, Lau EMC, Ho W, Ferguson NM, Anderson RM. Epidemiological determinants of the spread of the causal agent of severe acute respiratory syndrome in Hong Kong. Lancet, 361, 1761–1766, 2003. Published online 7 May 2003.
Riley S, Fraser C, Donnelly CA, Ghani AC, Abu-Raddad LJ, Hedley AJ, Leung GM, Ho L-M, Lam T-H, Thach T-Q, Chau P, Chan K-P, Lo S-V, Leung P-Y, Tsang T, Ho W, Lee K-H, Lau EMC, Ferguson NM, Anderson RM. Transmission dynamics of the etiological agent of SARS in Hong Kong: Impact of public health interventions. Science, 300, 1961-1966, 2003. Published online 23 May 2003.
Anderson RM, Fraser C, Ghani AC, Donnelly CA, Riley S, Ferguson NM, Leung G, Lam TH, Hedley AJ. Epidemiology, transmission dynamics and control of Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome – the 2002-2003 epidemic. Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society London B, 359, 1091-1105, 2004. DOI: 10.1098/rstb.2004.1490
Leung GM, Chung P-H, Tsang T, Lim W, Chan SKK, Chau P, Donnelly CA, Ghani AC, Fraser C, Riley S, Ferguson NM, Anderson RM, Law Y-L, Mok T, Ng T, Fu A, Leung P-Y, Peiris JSM, Lam T-H Hedley AJ. SARS-CoV Antibody Prevalence in All Hong Kong Patient Contacts. Emerging Infectious Diseases, 10, 1653-1656, 2004.
Donnelly CA, Fisher MC, Fraser C, Ghani AC, Riley S, Ferguson NM, Anderson RM. Epidemiological and genetic analysis of SARS. Lancet Infectious Diseases, 4, 672–683, 2004.
Leung GM, Hedley AJ, Ho L-M, Chau P, Wong IOL, Thach TQ, Ghani AC, Donnelly CA, Fraser C, Riley S, Ferguson NM, Anderson RM, Tsang T, Leung P-Y, Wong V, Chan J, Tsui E, Lo S-V, Lam T-H. The epidemiology of severe acute respiratory syndrome (SARS) in the 2003 Hong Kong epidemic: analysis of all 1,755 patients. Annals of Internal Medicine, 141, 662-673, 2004.
Ghani AC, Donnelly CA, Cox DR, JT Griffin JT, Fraser C, Lam TH, Ho LM, Chan WS, Anderson RM, Hedley AJ, Leung GM. Methods for estimating the case fatality ratio for a novel emerging infectious disease. American Journal of Epidemiology in press 2005.
FMD
Bartley LM, Donnelly CA, Anderson RM. Review of the survival of foot-and-mouth disease virus in animal secretions and excretions, and on fomites. Veterinary Record, 151, 667-669, 2002.
Ferguson NM, Donnelly CA and Anderson RM. The foot-and-mouth epidemic in Great Britain: Pattern of spread and impact of interventions. Science, 292, 1155-1160, 2001. Published online 12 April 2001; 10.1126/science.1061020.
Ferguson NM, Donnelly CA and Anderson RM. Transmission intensity and the impact of control policies on the foot and mouth disease epidemic in Great Britain. Nature 413, 542-548, 2001.
Howard SC and Donnelly CA. The importance of immediate destruction in epidemics of foot and mouth disease. Research in Veterinary Science 69(2), 189-196, 2000.
